Asymco

Asymmetric Intelligence

Podcast

  3. Asymcar 2: Is Tesla Disruptive? Also Segway, Multiair, Winglet, Organ Donors & Regulation

    Podcast · 5 comments

    Podcast 2: Is Tesla Disruptive? Also Segway, Multiair, Winglet, Organ Donors & Regulation Über Alles | Asymcar.

    Horace Dediu and Jim Zellmer discuss the odds of disrupting the present automotive club via Tesla. We further dive into the regulatory and cultural environment that sustains the current players, while reflecting a bit on Segway, Toyota’s Winglet, organ donors and the Fiat “multiair” engine. Finally, we preview a larger discussion on apps in and around the car. [24MB 57 minute mp3]

     

  4. Introducing Asymcar

    Podcast · 12 comments

    If Apple can have a hobby then so can Asymco.

    Jim Zellmer and I were having fun talking about cars and thought why not record our conversations and put them up for others to listen. That's how Asymcar got started.

    Besides having fun, what we plan to do is use the auto industry as a lens to understand how disruption works. Whereas Asymco is a narrative on an industry that is dynamic because of disruption, we hope to make Asymcar a narrative on an industry that isn't dynamic because of a lack of disruption. A sort of foil to Asymco (or maybe an Asymco Bizarro.)

    The approach is to use stories that everyone can understand whether you care about cars or not. The inspiration was the TV program Top Gear which satirizes the adolescence of the male mind, and thus appeals to all. With Asymcar we hope to bring a rich set of new metaphors to describe similarly curious phenomena.

    Check out the first Podcast: Tubular exoskeleton-type thing

  5. High Density #2: Tim Bajarin

    Podcast · 6 comments

    High Density is an interview show where we try to articulate what it means to be great. My guests offer observations and insights into the transformation of business and society through technology.

    Episode 2: Tim Bajarin

    Tim recalls the beginning, middle and end of the PC industry and we discuss the causes of each.

    via 5by5 | High Density #2: Tim Bajarin.

  10. Preempting the Praetorian Guard

    Podcast · 51 comments

    The functional organizational structure may be causal to successful disruption. Although this hypothesis needs much more research and testing, there are correlations in the anecdotal evidence. One of the principles of this theory is that functional organizations are less prone to "political infighting" where a powerful division can disable a self-disruption through the wielding of the power of the Profit/Loss statement.

    Under the divisional structure the modus operandi is that once an internal threat is detected, the incumbent division unleashes antibodies to destroy the smaller and less powerful opponent. This is possible because as soon as the threat is perceived, a threat response kicks in and the power to deflect the threat is abundant in the reward and incentive structure. This response mechanism is so common and well understood that it forms the basis of the Innovator's Dilemma.

    My hypothesis is that in the absence of product/divisional level power bases, the threat is not felt and the political power to respond is not available. In a functional organization there is no "business leadership", where the P/L "belongs" to one person. Only the CEO has life-and-death power over products and their decision is "purchased" through discussion with functional heads who stand to benefit as much as to lose from disruptive change.

    This functional organization decision process is typical if not universal in small companies and atypical if not unheard of in large companies. It's one of the reasons small companies are inherently more disruptive. The challenge for a growing company is that functional organizations don't scale well. There are very few and all depend on vigilant, almost maniacal defense of the structure. Divisional organizations are "natural" at scale and the preservation of functional structures is like fighting entropy.

    The organizations which seem to preserve functionality at scale are militaries. This is why I've been thinking about it takes to manage such organizations and preserve their apolitical status.

    As it turns out, militaries are also not immune from the corrosive effects of political power. In fact, the slide into corruption begins with the formation of elite divisions. The rationale is simple: elite soldiers whose loyalty and skill are most valuable are chosen for special roles and status. They begin by usually acting as bodyguards to the leadership or the state.

    Historically the most prominent such politicized military force was the Roman Praetorian Guard. Having started as bodyguards to the field commander, they transitioned into protectors of the state and, eventually, into destroyers of the state.  Their leader, the Praetorian Prefect, became one of the most powerful administrators of the state and his Guard became responsible for numerous coups d'état, assassinations and corruption.

    So-called "Republican Guards" became common in many militaries since then. Napoleon's Imperial Guard, the SS in Nazi Germany, the Iraqi and today's Iranian Republican Guards continue in a political role. In democracies, the politicized military is less common but the threat of their emergence is one states must always remain vigilant for.

    And so it must be for the functional organization. The emergence of an elite which, by its skill and achievement, gains more responsibility and hence more power is the good intention which paves the road to hell. Leading an innovative organization means having a process of denying power to those who are elites. It means preempting the Praetorian Guards.

    Doing so is a dilemma in itself as the elite are not likely to remain loyal if denied their opportunity to power. Managing the motivations of the bright and ambitious is where the art of disruption management lies.

    For a more thorough discussion of this topic, listen to the podcast which accompanies the post:  The Critical Path #90: The Praetorian Guard